Shops looted, buildings blazing,
a city in panic, mobs raging.
The scene could be London last
August, or any major city with subsurface tensions. This is Athens, where
friction has given way to violent protests amidst the latest economic deals
from Brussels.
Despite the promise of an
election in April, the Greek people are none the more encouraged to retain
faith that their money is safe. There has been a rush on banks and cases of citizens
sending money to accounts abroad. The economic crisis could make or break
underneath the shadow of the acropolis, once a symbol of Greek might and myth.
Now, the dreamy myth is long
since dispelled. The latest emergency relief package from the EU and IMF is
projected to offer an injection of approximately €130 billion, should they
receive proof that Greece is implementing its latest austerity measures.
However, the unrest and winter of
discontent only breeds malaise amongst the Greek government. On Saturday night,
parliament may have voted in favour of new spending cuts, but with almost 50
deputies rebelling, battle lines had clearly been drawn on an epic scale.
If the deal is not closed
however, Greece could default as early as next March.
Therefore, the balance of power
rests on the foreign leaders wanting a promise of austerity measures versus the
Greek electorate, who resent the interference from the West and are seeing
their country’s economy downsizing for the fifth year in a row.
In this second programme of cuts,
ministers in Athens have pledged to slashing 15,000 public-sector jobs as part
of a longer-term strategy to get rid of 150,000 civil servants. In addition,
there have been moves to reduce the minimum wage level by an overwhelming 20%,
whilst also altering the labour laws to ensure easier staff dismissal.
None of this is good news for the
populous at large. Greek is already one of the poorest EU countries, with a low
GDP per capita, and their borrowing has spiralled out of control, despite being
burdened with a set of sweeping cuts last year.
If Greece were to heed to calls
for the return of its Euro predecessor, the drachma, then there were be further
turmoil across Europe, as funds pumped into the economy were annexed and other
countries were made to subsidise the lost revenue. In addition, there would be
mass movement of Greek Euros abroad, so as the people could capitalise on
falling trade values and earn more money.
When concerns first started in
2009, Greece was burdened with debt amounting to 113% of GDP - nearly double
the eurozone limit of 60%. Ratings agencies started to downgrade Greek bank and
government debt and this has only led to stifled growth and the increase in
debt. But how had EU regulations not picked up on the expenditure that saw such
huge waste of resources?
The possibility is that Greece
could be forced to leave the Eurozone so as there is not a continual stream of
lost wealth. But whilst this might only disrupt Europe for a little while, the
impact on Greece would ensure that it was hampered by debt well into the latter
half of this century, with little consumer trust, economic growth, or trading
partners.
The outlook is bleak then. With
an uncertainty as to whether the Greek can meet Eurozone demands, public backlash
and a potential run on more financial institutions, the recovery is far from
certain. There are those who belief that another loan from Europe just kicks
the inevitable further down the path and that reductions in deficit by 2020 are
unrealistic.
Certainly, the play before the
Acropolis today is a Greek tragedy.
No comments:
Post a Comment