Showing posts with label Syria. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Syria. Show all posts

Thursday, 17 October 2013

The Day After Shutdown

America’s greatest challenge only comes to light now the shutdown is over.

The United States of America, considered by many to be one of the greatest examples of Western democracy, has been in shutdown for over two weeks. In this time, America’s global standing has certainly been undermined each day with its allies, whilst its enemies have looked on in a mocking triumph, as if this is the proof of everything wrong with the American way of life.

Dysfunction within a nation considered a bastion of power and democracy is always going to challenge international relations, but, more so than ever before, this government shutdown has reeked of ego massaging, in a scenario akin to a child walking away from his team because they’re losing a game. Reopening the house is now a mammoth and multifaceted problem.

Paralysis in the US means that other nations have learnt their own power. State Department deputy spokeswoman, Marie Harf, blasted what she called a “damaging” shutdown that “negatively impacts [US] standing abroad.”

Council on Foreign Relations president, Richard Haass, mimicked the sentiment, expanding that “This sends a message to allies that they're somewhat on their own.”

Indeed, you would be forgiven for forgetting the trouble across the pond. Following the initial week of turbulence, the shutdown seems largely disappeared from our news channels. With little action for negotiation on either side, the rest of the world could hardly wait around for America to splutter and kick start its way back to life.

In 1995, the last government shutdown, the economy was better equipped to deal with this sort of mass reduction in activity. Now, the economy is volatile.

Consequently, resolve within the American government, however, ushers in a new series of crises waiting to befall what appears an ailing regime of democracy.

Cancelling his important trip to Asia, with the intent of fostering better Chinese-American relations, Obama has allowed China to expand its global influence. The long planned trip was cut immediately to attend to the American crisis; a crisis fuelled and fired from the inside, on an issue triply settled in Congress, the courts and ballot.

The budget battle seriously risked sending the world into another recession, should the US default on its debts. This would provide China with grounds to claim that the US Dollar is not a secure currency, and to switch internationally to the Yuan, creating inflation in the US and leaving China able to manipulate exchange rates. China has a heaven sent opportunity to portray itself as the image of stability once peddled by US citizens.
Reopening government will be haunted by questions not only of reliability, but efficiency and how effective America is as a world power.

Not too long ago, America was the flexing power by which Syria was a crisis that would soon be resolved. Instead, the state now appears hypocritical at best for not even being able to hold control of its own house. Iran’s nuclear programme, one of the most controversial aspects of news, is legitimised by the US shutdown: how can one country in a turbulent period comment on another’s right for nuclear power?

The ramifications are more than economic and political then: they shake the very foundations of opinion on Western democracy and its impact. Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed his disappointment at not being able to meet with Obama over these key international issues that have been played out on a world stage for the past year. His spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said, “There is a great need in our bilateral relations for a dialogue at the highest level.” Yet the only dialogue is that of the Russians.

Ironically, not only does this strengthen the Russian position, but seriously gives credence to those who believe the Russian President is a viable candidate to receive the Nobel Peace Prize. This nomination the result of what is now viewed the most effective plan to initiate peace in Syria, spearheaded by Russia alone during shutdown.

Uncle Sam awakes to find a nation not only questioning its own importance, but one that has shot itself, and is now bleeding internally. It will be a slow and painful process to recover, but never heal fully. Being held to ransom by its own government, the US continues to lose money every day with hundreds of thousands of people out of work, tourism and national monument sites closed, and Head State funded programmes cancelled without notice, as it slowly hits restart. Not only will this be an international debacle, but a case of national humiliation. Americans will need to learn to have faith and trust in their own system again. When controversial popstar Miley Cyrus manages to mock the shutdown with panache, one wonders whether the people responsible realise the true extent of the extravagant spectacle.

What ‘Obamacare’ is highlighting is a chronic condition: an illness with little chance of treatment. Raising the debt ceiling and reopening the government isn’t the last of the turbulent American issues: it just kicks a proverbial can of worms a few months further down the line. This is a disease that has become malignant.
The latest poll suggests that almost three quarters of American’s leave the blame with the Republican Party. Essentially, the minority are trying to gain the upperhand through a form of extortion, and Obama is not willing to give into that. So, as government is reopened, the logical solution would be to pass an amendment to stop such petty squabbles crippling the US in future.

Well, this is where America comes to its ultimate Catch 22. This is the nation that declares itself the land of the free. This is the nation of modern democracy. To change the freedom enjoyed by Americans in the House is to admit that the system was wrong. It is unlikely that the government will risk this ultimate humiliation. Ideologically and, more importantly, in all practicality, this is a battle for freedom of speech that neither side can win.

Monday, 27 February 2012

The Syria Crisis Continues...


Tensions continue to mount in Syria following further bombings in Homs, and around the country, as voting on a referendum was held yesterday.

The city of Homs remains under fire and troops are reported to be firing artillery, mortars and anti-aircraft weapons at several towns in the Idlib circumference.

Syria is the latest in a string of Arab countries to be tipped into turmoil and the threat of revolution. Whilst the events have not yet been classified as either a civil war or as an uprising, there are threads of similarity to the revolts seen in Libya and Egypt in 2011.

The protests pose the greatest threat to four decades of Assad family rule in the country and a strong military force since March 2011 is starting to fail. While the eyes of the world were on other pressing revolutions in the area over the course of 2011, action was sparked when citizens wrote “The people want the downfall of the regime” on several buildings in the city of Deraa. When protesters were set upon with army force, they accidentally sparked a wave of national movements.

As a great many Westerners remain ignorant of the initial causes and reasons behind the revolutionary action due to more violent unrest elsewhere, here is a summary of some key concerns for Syrian citizens:
·          
  •     Fall of the regime: no step down has been forthcoming from Assad.
  •         End to the 48-year-old emergency law: although revoked, Syrian forces still open fire at will.
  •         Immediate end to extrajudicial killings and torture: the president has revoked claims of crimes against humanity.
  •         Release of political prisoners and detained protesters
  •         Transition to a democratic, free and pluralistic society
Yesterday saw a mobilisation towards the final objective: a referendum was held across Syria for a new constitution. Of course, whilst the voting was opened and ran according to predetermined regulation, there is concern not only that there will be tampering with results, but that as many significant cities with revolutionary zeal were under fire, the results will be skewed with too few voting in favour of change, either being scared or unable to leave their homes.

The new constitution calls for a multi-party parliamentary election within three months.

Even President Assad himself was seen voting, the leader claiming that he sees the new constitution as the key element in a reform process he says will make Syria a beacon of democracy in the region. Perhaps the president believes that if he is able to curb and appease the uprisings, he will be able to remain in power.

However, the process has been deemed a sham by some countries, who claimed that even the old regime was not too far off Western politics, but leaders chose to ignore its constitution.

Meanwhile, China dismissed US criticism of its Syria policy, branding the claims that continued trade with Syria was “despicable” as laughable; many officials stated that the US had no right to speak for the Arab world after the atrocities seen in the invasion of Iraq.

However, Europe continues to impose sanctions on the country, including:
  • a freeze on the European-held assets of the Syrian central bank
  • travel bans on seven close associates of President Bashar al-Assad
  • a ban on cargo flights from Syria into the EU
  • restrictions on the trade in gold and precious metals.
Although French President Nicholas Sarkozy believed that things in the area were beginning to move, and that there was an imminent solution in the offing, the situation remains extremely tense and it may only be with the pressure of sanctions that the country becomes pliable to the whims and demands of the West. Should China continue to support the Arab world however, the violence and unrest could gather a sudden momentum.

With hundreds of citizens killed in the new year alone, it would seem that there is still an equal resilience on both sides of the Syrian crisis, which only poses further confrontation with the Arab world as an example of the latest battle for a new independence.